Hurricane Noel Could Brush East Coast

Tropical Storm-Force Winds Could Hit From North Carolina to Canada

NOAA - Infrared Satellite Image

The National Hurricane Center has put the U.S. coast on alert from North Carolina northward, as Hurricane Noel keeps growing in size. The storm reached Category 1 hurricane strength overnight as it passed The Bahamas, which are still under a gale-force wind watch.

Once forecast to barely brush Southeast Florida as a tropical storm and run parallel to the East Coast, the storm now has a chance of reaching hurricane strength, and bringing tropical storm-force winds to a large swath of the U.S. coastline in the coming days.

Tropical Storm-force Wind Probabilities

National Hurricane Center

The forecast calls for as little as one, or as much as six inches of rain along the East Coast, with the higher totals coming to New England.

Noel is the 14th named storm of the season, and at least* the fifth hurricane. The traditional Atlantic hurricane season is nearing its end, but some storms have formed as late as January. The season has reached predicted levels of named storms (13-16 predicted by federal forecast) but not in total hurricanes (7-9) or major hurricanes (3-5).

Here’s a map and list of the 2007 Atlantic storms to date:

Colorado State University

1. Tropical Storm Andrea, May 9-11
2. Tropical Storm Barry, June 1-2
3. Tropical Storm Chantal, July 31-Aug. 1
4. Hurricane Dean (Category 5), Aug. 14-23
5. Tropical Storm Erin, Aug. 15-16
6. Hurricane Felix (Category 5), Sep. 1-5
7. Tropical Storm Gabrielle, Sep. 8-10
8. Hurricane Humberto (Category 1), Sep. 12-13
9. Tropical Storm Ingrid, Sep. 14-15
10. Tropical Storm Jerry, Sep. 23-24
11. *Tropical Storm Karen, Sep. 25-29
12. Hurricane Lorenzo (Category 1), Sep. 27-28
13. Tropical Storm Melissa, Sep. 29-30
14. Hurricane Noel, Oct. 27-

*Tropical Storm Karen may be upgraded to a Category 1 hurricane in a post-season analysis, based on observations that it briefly reached hurricane strength.